
Millennial Makeover
In the 2007 book "Millennial Makeover," Morley Winograd & Michael Hais hypothesized that the 2008 election would be unprecedented (in terms of online fundraising, youth participation, etc). Most publishers thought the authors were overestimating the role of young voters in 2008, but Winograd & Hais ultimately scored a publishing deal on the heels of Super Tuesday and their hypothesis - as we now know - was right.Winograd & Hais explained the long-time political realignment model: politics is cyclical, not linear. At any given time, one political party dominates the political process - sets the tone and public policy agenda - and sees a "makeover" every 40 or so years. History has shown that in the periods of political stability, there is little variability in party identification or other voting coalitions. Winograd & Hais posit that two things need to be present to trigger political realignment:
- The advent of a large and dynamic generation of young Americans (large enough to electorally overwhelm other existing generations).
- A new communication technology paradigm (in the 1930's, this was the radio; in the 1960's, television; now in the 21st century, it's internet-based technology).
These two conditions are present in modern day politics and have helped define the Millennial Generation. Winograd & Hais explain that Millennials are civic-minded, group-oriented and problem solvers. In 2004, Howard Dean helped demonstrate the power of the internet, but in 2008 the Millennials put the internet (and social networking) at the center of the campaign.
Andrew Rasiej Video
Rasiej claims that the multi-dimensional social networking tools have developed a new kind of governance. Internet users are essentially competing with government and taking the lead in solving problems that need to be solved (e.g. online resource for reporting pot-holes, looking up times for public transportation). Like-minded individuals are finding solutions where government has lagged. These tools transcend geographical boundaries. Rasiej predicts that social networking tools encourage international diplomacy and have the potential to translate into civilian action, absent of political leaders.






